Most Overrated 2007 Fantasy Basketball Players

There can be a big difference between what constitutes a quality contributor on the real basketball court and what constitutes a quality contributor in fantasy basketball.  Fantasy basketball is more about efficiency and wholeness of statistics and in no way factors the immeasurable and intangible contributions a player might supply during games.  That being said, here are the most overrated fantasy basketball players.

 

10.  Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs - As great as Parker is, his numbers don't necessarily translate well to fantasy basketball. His 5.5 assist per game average is a bit low for a star point guard, and though his FG% (52%) is excellent, his FT% (78.3%) is just so-so.  Moreover, other than points production (18.6 ppg), Parker gets you absolutely no threes (0.2 per game) and very few steals (1.1 per game).

 

9. Richard Hamilton, Detroit Pistons - Fantasy owners are getting wiser about Hamilton in the past few seasons.  What makes him a valuable draft pick is that in some drafts he can slip to later rounds.  He doesn't fill a stat sheet very well, but he can score and his percentages are excellent.  And, it's very difficult to find a top-flight scorer late in fantasy drafts.

 

8. Monta Ellis, Golden State Warriors - First off, and this is very important, Don Nelson has said that Ellis won't be starting at the two guard spot. Apparently, Nellie doesn't think he's big enough to play there. That means he'll be backing up Baron Davis this season. Moreover, though Ellis is a solid, up-and-coming scorer (16.5 ppg) who gets very nice steals (1.7 per game), he doesn't provide any threes (0.5 per game) and he turns the ball over a lot (2.9 per game) for the amount of assists he contributes (4.1 per game).

 

7. Al Harrington, Golden State Warriors - It amazes me that he doesn't slip more in drafts.  He couldn't even improve his numbers that much when he was sent to Golden State. He's very reliable, but his production is somewhat limited. He's an OK scorer, who gets OK boards for a small forward (except he's a power forward) and decent threes. Beyond that, he's kind of a non-factor, whose FT% is less than desireable (69.4% last season).

 

6. Zach Randolph, New York Knicks - Sure, he's one of the top scoring power forwards in the game and is a solid rebounder, but pairing with Eddy Curry should limit his touches a bit. What's more, he doesn't do much else. He turns the ball over and his free throw percentage is excellent for a big man, but don't expect any blocks or steals from Randolph.

 

5. Dwight Howard, Orlando Magic - Truly, 17.6 ppg, 12.3 rbpg and 1.9 bspg is nothing to sneeze at, but he had more turnovers this season than any other center in the last 20-some years.  Granted, he only averaged 2.7 topg two seasons ago and his 3.9 topg average should go down with the addition of Rashard Lewis, but that still won't help his Shaq-like free throw percentage that has been at sub-60% the last two seasons. What's worst about that is that he tends to attempt a lot of foul shots per game. His free throw shooting alone can kill fantasy teams.

 

4. Kenyon Martin, Denver Nuggets - Fantasy owners love to draft Martin late in hopes he'll have a healthier season. Yet, Martin hasn't even shown much in the way of fantasy value even when he's been healthy.  His scoring is so-so, but his rebounding has been disappointing for a power forward of his supposed stature.  Moreover, though he capable of getting a steal or so a game, his shot blocking is not what most people think it is.

  

3. Jameer Nelson, Orlando Magic - As the Magic starting point guard, he's never been able to manage more than 14.6 ppg (despite Orlando hurting for offense), 4.9 apg, and 1.1 spg.  I have no idea why fantasy owners feel the need to take a chance on him.  He doesn't even contribute threes.

 

2. Larry Hughes, Cleveland Cavaliers - He has just not been the same player in Cleveland that he was in Washington.  His points are embarrassing for a two guard with his contract and his FG% has been rotton.  He doesn't get threes and his steals have remained steadily at 1.5 per game or below; a huge contradiction from the 2.9 per game he averaged in his last season in Washington.

 

1. Eddy Curry, New York Knicks - As big as Curry is, he's a god-awful rebounder. He had a career high in rebounding last season at 7.1 per game.  Moreover, he doesn't block shots at all (I'd be surprised if they could slip a credit card under his feet when he jumps) and his free throw percentage is Shaq-esque.




OK, I concede that...

Parker's 5.5 assists last year are decent, top 20 on averages. But even guys like Jarret Jack and Steve Blake would get you nearly the same overall number of assists. And you can pick them up far later in the draft.

 

What I should have focused on more was the PG stats - those .2 threes and 1.1 steals. So let me try to rephrase a bit.

 

To succeed with him <em>in a high draft position</em>, you have to concede that you are chasing points and percentages at the expense of assists.



Gotcha

I think I get what you're saying, but it all depends on where you draft him, doesn't it? If you're able to take him somewhere between picks 70-80, I don't think that's a bad pick at all. He gets decent assists (not great, though) and good FG% with points.  However, he goes so much higher in most drafts, and whether that means you're chasing points or not, I think it's still too high. 

 

If you really wanted to chase points, there are still better PGs to get that Parker. Gordon's usually PG eligible, for example. Still, I think I see what you're saying. The bottom line is that Parker doesn't spread his stats well and doesn't really wow in the stats he gets.



Drafting Parker

I can't say I agree at all. Why does drafting Parker mean you have to give up in assists? He still gets you a respectable five or so per game.  If you're drafting him so high that you feel you have to give up assists, you shouldn't be drafting him so high. There are better point guard scorers.



Tony Parker is a quirky

Tony Parker is a quirky fantasy player. To succeed with him, you have to concede that you are chasing points and percentages at the expense of assists. Drafting Parker as your lead guard essentially broadcasts to your league that you're not interested in the traditional PG stats of assists, 3s and steals.

 

But if you're lucky in the draft and wind up with a pairing like AI + Parker, you can balance out the faults of both players and have a pretty good combo.